Tourism growth and investment in Bali’s inclusive economic recovery in 2023: A spatial and econometric approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55942/ccdj.v5i2.1399Keywords:
Tourism development, inclusive growth, spatial lag model, total realized investment, Bali, economic recoveryAbstract
This study investigates the relationship between tourism development, total realized investment, and inclusive growth in Bali during the 2023 economic recovery period. The primary objective is to analyze how international and domestic tourist visits, along with investment inflows, influence inclusive growth across Bali’s regions. This study employs various econometric models, including linear trend analysis, multiple regression, and a spatial lag model (SAR) to capture the spatial dependencies between regions. Using data on tourist visits, realized investments, ICT use, labor force participation, and real per capita expenditure, this study builds an Inclusive Growth Index (IGI) for Bali. The results indicate that tourism and investment significantly contribute to inclusive growth, and spatial factors also play a critical role in determining regional disparities in growth. The findings have important policy implications for promoting sustainable tourism and investment strategies to ensure equitable and inclusive development across Bali.
References
Adeniyi, O., Kumeka, T. T., Orekoya, S., & Adekunle, W. (2023). Impact of tourism development on inclusive growth: A panel vector autoregression analysis for African economies. Tourism Economics, 29(3), 612–642. https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166211061154
Alekhina, V., & Ganelli, G. (2023). Determinants of inclusive growth in ASEAN. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28(3), 1196–1228. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1981044
Ali, I., & Son, H. H. (2007). Measuring Inclusive Growth. Asian Development Review, 24(01), 11–31. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0116110507000024
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2024). Indikator Kesejahteraan Rakyat 2024 (Nos. 0215–4641; Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS - Statistics Indonesia)). Badan Pusat Statistik. https://www.bps.go.id/id/publication/2024/11/06/3ef10d3d82ed93f616ba9113/indikator-kesejahteraan-rakyat-2024.html
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Bali. (2023). Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Provinsi Bali 2023 (Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Bali). https://bali.bps.go.id/id/pressrelease/2023/12/01/717830/indeks-pembangunan-manusia-ipm-provinsi-bali-2023.html
Bakker, M., & Messerli, H. R. (2017). Inclusive growth versus pro-poor growth: Implications for tourism development. Tourism and Hospitality Research, 17(4), 384–391. https://doi.org/10.1177/1467358416638919
Bakker, M., Van Der Duim, R., Peters, K., & Klomp, J. (2023). Tourism and Inclusive Growth: Evaluating a Diagnostic Framework. Tourism Planning & Development, 20(3), 416–439. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568316.2020.1850517
Balai Statistik Daerah (BAPPEDA DIY) & Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. (2016). Analisis pertumbuhan ekonomi inklusif Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta 2011-2015. BAPPEDA DIY & BPS Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. https://bapperida.jogjaprov.go.id/dataku/publikasi/detail/7-analisis-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-inklusif-2016
Chok, S., Macbeth, J., & Warren, C. (2007). Tourism as a Tool for Poverty Alleviation: A Critical Analysis of ‘Pro-Poor Tourism’ and Implications for Sustainability. Current Issues in Tourism, 10(2–3), 144–165. https://doi.org/10.2167/cit303
Dognon, A. Y., Aifa, K. E., Aifa, H. F. A., & Zinsou, L. (2023). Tourisme et Croissance Inclusive au Bénin: Une Analyse d’Après l’Indice Synthétique de Croissance Inclusive. European Scientific Journal, ESJ, 19(31), 170. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2023.v19n31p170
Eugenio-Martin, J. L., Martín Morales, N., & Scarpa, R. (2004). Tourism and Economic Growth in Latin American Countries: A Panel Data Approach. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.504482
Gokovali, U., & Bahar, O. (2006). Contribution of Tourism to Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach. Anatolia, 17(2), 155–167. https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2006.9687184
Govdeli, T., & Direkci, T. B. (2017). The Relationship between Tourism and Economic Growth: OECD Countries. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 6(4), Pages 104-114. https://doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v6-i4/3489
Habibi, F., Rahmati, M., & Karimi, A. (2018). Contribution of tourism to economic growth in Iran’s Provinces: GDM approach. Future Business Journal, 4(2), 261–271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fbj.2018.09.001
Hampton, M. P., & Jeyacheya, J. (2013). Tourism and Inclusive Growth in Small Island Developing States (p. 104). Commonwealth Secretariat. https://doi.org/10.14217/9781848591653-en
Hampton, M. P., Jeyacheya, J., & Long, P. H. (2018). Can Tourism Promote Inclusive Growth? Supply Chains, Ownership and Employment in Ha Long Bay, Vietnam. The Journal of Development Studies, 54(2), 359–376. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2017.1296572
Herdiyati, L., & Ismail, M. (2022). Government Spending and Investment for Inclusive Growth in Indonesia: A Panel Data Analysis. SOUTHEAST ASIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 10(3), 27–73. https://so05.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/saje/article/view/262485
Khan, A., Khan, G., Safdar, S., Munir, S., & Andleeb, Z. (2016). Measurement and Determinants of Inclusive Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan (1990-2012). The Pakistan Development Review, 455–466. https://doi.org/10.30541/v55i4I-IIpp.455-466
McKinley, T. (2010). Inclusive Growth Criteria and Indicators: An Inclusive Growth Index for Diagnosis of Country Progress. Asian Development Bank Working Paper Series. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28493/adb-wp14-inclusive-growth-criteria.pdf
Mustika, S. (2024, January 4). Pecah! Wisman ke Bali lebih dari 5 juta kunjungan. detikTravel. https://travel.detik.com/travel-news/d-7123377/pecah-wisman-ke-bali-lebih-dari-5-juta-kunjungan
Novitasari, D., & Khikmah, L. (2019). Penerapan Model Regresi Spasial Pada Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Di Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017. STATISTIKA, 19(2), 123–134. https://doi.org/10.29313/jstat.v19i2.5068
Ofori, I. K., & Asongu, S. A. (2021). ICT Diffusion, Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Telematics and Informatics, 65, 101718. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2021.101718
Ofori, P. E., Kuuwill, A., & Quaye, B. (2024). Effect of human capital development and institutional quality on inclusive growth in African countries. Cogent Economics & Finance, 12(1), 2357155. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2357155
Peterson, R. R., DiPietro, R. B., & Harrill, R. (2020). In search of inclusive tourism in the Caribbean: Insights from Aruba. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, 12(3), 225–243. https://doi.org/10.1108/WHATT-02-2020-0009
Pham, U., Trinh, Q., Le, H., & Vo, U. (2023). Impacts of regional trade agreements on international tourism demand: Empirical in Vietnam. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2), 2250230. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2250230
Stiglitz, J. E. (2013). The Price of Inequality. W. W. Norton & Company.
Tabash, M. I. (2017). The Role of Tourism Sector in Economic Growth: An Empirical Evidence From Palestine. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 7(2), 103–108.
Thushara, S. C., Su, J.-J., & Bandara, J. S. (2019). Forecasting international tourist arrivals in formulating tourism strategies and planning: The case of Sri Lanka. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1), 1699884. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1699884
Tugcu, C. T. (2014). Tourism and economic growth nexus revisited: A panel causality analysis for the case of the Mediterranean Region. Tourism Management, 42, 207–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2013.12.007
Vora-Sittha, P. (2016). Economic Impact of Tourism Accommodation: Thailand. Asian Social Science, 12(7), p222. https://doi.org/10.5539/ass.v12n7p222
Wattanakuljarus, A., & Coxhead, I. (2008). Is tourism-based development good for the poor?: A general equilibrium analysis for Thailand. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(6), 929–955. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.02.006
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 I Gusti Lanang Putu Tantra, Ngurah Wisnu Murthi

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.











